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October 20, 2025

Elektabilitas Prabowo Meroket, Tinggal Selisih 4,1 Persen Dengan Jokowi

Elektabilitas Prabowo Meroket, Tinggal Selisih 4,1 Persen Dengan Jokowi
Direktur Eksekutif Lembaga Survei Puskaptis Husin Yazid. 
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Jakarta, Zonasatu–Selisih Elektabilitas Jokowi-Maruf Amin dan Prabowo-Sandiaga makin tipis. Tinggal 4,1 persen. 

Mengutip Suara.com , Pusat Kajian Kebijakan dan Pembangunan Strategis mencatat elektablititas Jokowi – Maruf Amin 45,90 persen. Sementara Prabowo – Sandiaga 41,80 persen.

Direktur Eksekutif Lembaga Survei Puskaptis Husin Yazid mengatakan ada 12,30 persen sisanya belum menentukan pilihan alias swing voters.

“Angka ini masih sangat tipis persaingannya, sehingga untuk menentukan pemenangnya ada di swing voters,” kata Husin Yazid kepada wartawan di Hotel Ibis, Menteng, Jakarta Pusat, Selasa (29/1/2019).

Survei ini dilakukan di 34 provinsi mulai tanggal 8 sampai 14 Januari 2019. Survei dilakukan secara proporsional kepada mereka yang mempunyai hak pilih dalam Pilpres 17 April 2019.

Jumlah sample responden yang di ambil sebanyak 2100. Penentuan responden dilakukan secara random sistematis, dengan margin error ± 2,4 persen pada tingkat kepercayaan 95 persen. Penarikan sampel dilakukan dengan Metode multistage Random Sampling.

Dibandingkan survey sebelumnya tampak Elektabilitas Jokowi terus menurun, bahkan cenderung terjun bebas dibawah 50 persen. Sebaliknya Elektabilitas Prabowo cenderung terus meroket.

Bila kecenderungan terus berjalan linier, maka Elektabilitas Prabowo akan bisa mengungguli Jokowi.

Dengan angka swing votters yang masih tinggi 12,3 persen maka kedua Capres memiliki peluang sama untuk menang. 

 

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