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October 21, 2025

Daniel M. Rosyid : Soft, Quick Lies

Daniel M. Rosyid : Soft, Quick Lies
Daniel Muhamad Rosyid
Posted by: 41 comments

Oleh : Daniel Mohammad Rosyid

Semula Quick Count dipakai National Movement for Free Election (NAMFREL) untuk mencandra praktek kecurangan Pemilu di Filipina era Ferdinand Marcos di tahun 1980an. KPU Filipina kemudian menyatakan Marcos menang, sementara NAMFREL memenangkan Corrazon Aquino. Marcos akhirnya dijatuhkan oleh people power yang dipimpin oleh Cory Aquino, istri senator Benigno Aquino yang terbunuh sebelumnya.

Jika hanya sebagai alat bagi KPU untuk mencandra kecurangan Pemilu, maka seharusnya hasil QC tidak boleh dipublikasikan, tapi hanya digunakan untuk kalangan internal KPU (mungkin juga bersama Bawaslu) saja. Jika hasil QC lembaga survey diumumkan secara publik, jelas ini adalah penyalahgunaan QC sebagai alat untuk memanipulasi opini publik.

Pelaksanaan Pilpres 2019 di Indonesia sulit dikatakan berlangsung jujur dan adil. TKN 01 telah memanfaatkan kebingungan publik soal status 01 Presiden atau Capres untuk kepentingan elektabilitasnya. Terlalu banyak intimidasi tersistem, Daftar Pemilih Tetap yang meragukan, keberpihakan aparat, politik uang yang masiv dan penyalahgunaan kewenangan birokrasi selama masa kampanye, serta manipulasi kartu suara saat pencoblosan dan sesudahnya. Ini semua menjadikan sejumlah bermakna suara pemilih bernilai hoax. Sulit dikatakan bahwa data yg digunakan oleh QC adalah data yang robust, yaitu sahih dan reliable sebagai aspirasi sejati pemilih. Akibatnya, hasil QC menyesatkan dan justru memalsukan demokrasi.

Dengan data sampah seperti itu, hasil Quick Count kehilangan kemampuannya untuk menggambarkan aspirasi pemilih yang sesungguhnya. Apalagi jika kontestasinya neck-to-neck, untuk sampling dan  margin of error yang direncanakan, hasil kontestasi yang sebenarnya (real count) bisa bertentangan secara diametral dengan prediksi QC. Oleh karena itu pemenang kontestasi Pilpres akan memiliki legitimasi yang rendah. Dalam perspektif ini, kemenangan petahana (yang memikul tanggungjawab akhir dari semua kehidupan berbangsa dan bernegara) secara brutal justru sebuah bukti kegagalannya membangun masyarakat demokratik sekaligus kinerjanya yang mengecewakan selama ini. Empat tahun lebih masa jabatannya sesungguhnya adalah waktu yang lebih dari cukup untuk berkampanye. Jika petahana memiliki standard etika yang tertinggi di antara para politisi, maka sebagai pemimpin seharusnya mampu untuk memberi teladan bagi masyarakat. Sayang sekali yang terjadi justru sebaliknya.

Publikasi QC Pemilu 2019 sehari setelah pencoblosan adalah sebuah sophisticated, quick lies. Namun BPN 02 telah mengambil langkah berani mempublikasikan  real count internal nya untuk menetralisasi manipulasi opini publik. Sekalipun sepintas langkah Paslonb02 mendaku kemenangannya tampak menyalahi kesantunan berdemokrasi, langkah publikasi QC lembaga-lembaga survey yg dibiarkan KPU justru sebenarnya adalah langkah membohongi publik secara santun.

Gunung Anyar, 19/4/2019

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