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Survei IPB, Elektabilitas Capres : Prabowo 48,8 persen, Jokowi 41,8 persen

Survei IPB, Elektabilitas Capres : Prabowo 48,8 persen, Jokowi 41,8 persen
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Elektabilitas Jokowi-Amin terus menurun, dari 48,2 persen turun menjadi 41,8. Sebaliknya elektabilitas Prabowo-Sandi trendnya terus naik, dari 37,4 persen menjadi 48,8 persen.

 

Zonasatu News–Institut Pertanian Bogor (IPB) Program Studi Ilmu Managemen mengadakan survey elektabilitas dan orientasi pertanian Calon Presiden. Survey diadakan tanggal 19 Maret- 9 April 2019. Dari hasil survey ditemukan elektabilitas Prabowo-Sandi mencapai 48,8 persen unggul atas Jokowi-Amin yang hanya mencapai angka elektabilitas sebesar 41,8 persen. Sementara 9,4 persen belum menentukan pilihan (undecided voters).

Perbandingan Elektabilitas kedua calon presiden

Hasil survey lainnya ditemukan fakta elektabilitas Jokowi-Amin terus menurun, dari 48,2 persen turun menjadi 41,8. Sebaliknya elektabilitas Prabowo-Sandi trendnya terus naik, dari 37,4 persen menjadi 48,8 persen.

Trend Elektabilitas calon presiden

Jumlah responden dalam survey ini sebanyak 816 orang. Sampel berasal dari 34 propinsi yang terdistribusi secara proporsional berdasarkan jumlah pemilih (DPT). Populasi sampel adalah warga negara Indonesia yang telah berusia 17 tahun keatas atau yang sudah mrnikah.

Sebaran Elektabilitas calon presiden

Pengambilan sampel menggunakan metode Quata Sampling dengan toleransi kesalahan (margin of error) sebesar 3,43 % pada tingkat kepercayaan 95%.

Pengambilan data responden melalui pengisian kuisioner secara online, dan proses konfirmasi melalui telepon.

Sumber : Hasil survey elektabilitas dan orientasi pertanian capres pada pemilu 2019 di Indonesia, Program Studi Ilmu Managemen (PSIM), Departemen managemen Fakultas Ekonomi dan Managemen Institut Pertanian Bogor (IPB) Tahun 2019.

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